Sunday, February 14, 2016

How cheap oil may ruin your life


With the price of oil sliding, you might expect demand for oil would be rising. Not so much. Demand is rising, but at a rapidly decelerating pace, roughly two-thirds lower than last year. That’s not good news, especially for jobs, which have grown in the U.S. for a record 71 straight months.
That the growth rate for oil consumption is down sharply tells us a lot about the global economy and the likelihood of continued market volatility. Companies and countries with the financial muscle to buy oil cheap and store it until prices rise have been taking the excess supply, but that must end soon because we are running out of places to store oil.
Underground storage, the cheapest way to hold oil once it gets past the wellhead, is pretty much full. The U.S. government’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a giant salt dome, can hold about 715 million barrels of oil. It’s at about 695 million barrels right now.
Aboveground oil storage tanks are so close to full that some companies and countries are storing oil at sea. More than 100 million barrels of oil are being stored at sea, sending the price of oil tanker charters soaring. Very large crude carriers have been renting for as much as $111,000 per day, up from a daily average around $20,000 in recent years.
We can expect panic selling once the world runs out of storage, especially expensive storage at sea. Unless some major oil producers shut down a lot of wells, at some point the owners of oil in the most expensive storage will be forced to sell, prompting a brief but dramatic drop in oil prices.
The price for a barrel of West Texas intermediate crude, an industry benchmark, fell below $28 in the spot markets this week. That’s tantalizingly close to the 1986 price of $22 in today’s money. Don’t be surprised if the spot price falls, briefly, under $20. (Wyoming sour crude, so called because it is laced with sulphur, is under $11 a barrel.)
Falling prices are destroying the fortunes of those who borrowed lots of money to cash in on oil prices when they were over $100 a barrel eight years ago. Banks are writing off billions of dollars of imprudent loans — a cost borne not by bankers but by investors in bank stocks. Wells Fargo, for example, has set aside $1.2 billion to cover expected defaults on $17 billion of oil loans. That 7 percent default rate will almost certainly worsen if oil prices fall further. 
Oil company investors are getting pummeled too. A troubling sign of what may be coming can be seen in the latest financial report by Anadarko Petroleum. It rang up sales last year of $8.7 billion but lost an astounding $6.7 billion, or $13.18 per share. The stock trades at about $40, down 63 percent from its high in August 2014. CEO Al Walker warned shareholders last week that “for 2016, greater market dislocation appears likely,” so the company is slashing spending even more.
The awful news from Anadarko suggests that many more good-paying oil industry jobs will vaporize, at least until oil prices recover. Expect more announcements like this not just in the oil industry, suggesting that job growth is slowing and may even reverse for a while.
"Even if your job is as far from an oilfield or an oil company’s headquarters as snowfalls are from Florida, pay close attention to the price of oil. As oil jobs go away, so may yours".
Individual producers face a choice between trying to make some money from oil at low prices, which may stave off bankruptcy, or shutting down production until oil prices rise. While some wells have been shut and the number of rigs drilling wells in the United States has fallen about 70 percent since 2008, global production is up. Saudi Arabia has kept production going full tilt, hoping to force out high-cost oil producers such as fracking wells in the U.S. With Iran about to resume large-scale oil exports, the global oversupply may continue for several years.
This downward trend will likely cause disruptions around the world. Countries that depend on oil revenue to fund their budgets — Middle Eastern countries, Mexico, Russia, Venezuela and Norway prominent among them — face hard choices about cutting domestic spending, which runs the risk of social unrest. Some may be forced to sell assets held in their sovereign wealth funds.
Consider the effect of panic selling on the world markets if Norway, with just 5.2 million people, has to convert a significant share of its stocks, bonds and real estate to cash. Norway is tiny by population, but it owns about 1.3 percent of the world’s securities.
Perhaps the most volatile country, as I noted in this column a month ago, is Russia, which counts on oil companies for 98 percent of big company profits. Whether the Kremlin will cut oil production, in the hope that higher prices will make up for the loss of volume, is one of the biggest guessing games in energy markets and diplomatic circles.
In the U.S., residents of states that depend on oil revenues — Alaska, California, Texas and Wyoming — will face either cuts in state spending that will damage the economy or higher taxes. Alaskans get a check from the state each year based on oil royalties, and they should expect their wallets to be much thinner in the years ahead.

If prices at the pump are so low, why aren’t people buying more gasoline? A big reason that abundant supply has not been matched by increased consumption is a core concept of modern economic theory known as elasticity. 
Some products are highly responsive to changes in supply. A bumper crop of any vegetable typically results in sharply lower prices. People load up on asparagus and tomatoes when supply is abundant, passing by more expensive Brussels sprouts and zucchini. That’s price elasticity.
Oil and especially gasoline and diesel fuel are not like that. When the price of gasoline is high, people still have to get to work, and goods still have to be moved, so spending is cut back in other areas. Even with gasoline at $1.76 per gallon, the latest national average, people don’t drive more during the workweek and only a bit more on weekends and vacations. That’s inelasticity.
The world, particularly the United States, has become much more efficient in the use of fossil fuels generally and oil specifically since the price shocks of 1973, when the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries showed it could drive up the price of oil by restricting supply. The U.S. is one of a handful of countries with fuel economy standards for automobiles, for example. That, too, contributes to the slowing growth of demand for oil.
Because oil remains central to human economic activity, weak demand in a period of gushing supply (even before Iran resumes shipping into the world oil markets) spells pervasive disruption of global economic activity. Even if your job is as far from an oilfield or an oil company’s headquarters as snowfalls are from Florida, pay close attention to the price of oil. As oil jobs go away, so may yours.
David Cay Johnston, an investigative reporter who won a Pulitzer Prize while at The New York Times, teaches business, tax and property law of the ancient world at the Syracuse University College of Law. He is the best-selling author of “Perfectly Legal,” “Free Lunch” and “The Fine Print” and the editor of the new anthology “Divided: The Perils of Our Growing Inequality.”

February 11, 2016 2:00AM ET


Saltwater Sports Car Gets Upgrade


When the European company nanoFlowcell AG debuted its unique electric concept car at last year’s Geneva Motor Show, the buzz was immediate. Word quickly spread that the Quant e-Sportlimousine was the first viable electric vehicle powered by salt water.
That isn’t quite the case, but it is kinda-sorta the case, and in this instance “kinda-sorta” is actually pretty impressive. The Quant vehicle doesn’t run on salt water, but instead uses tanks of charged electrolyte fluids — salt water, technically speaking — to store potential energy with improved efficiency. As such, the nanoFlowcell system can provide a much greater range than a conventional electric car battery, say the designers.
The Quant crew will be returning to Geneva next month with the second iteration of the vehicle, dubbed the Quant F. The new car has a range of 800 kilometers (about 500 miles) when fully charged, with a top speed of 300 km/h (186 mph), according to the press materials.
Those are some pretty impressive numbers in the realm of electric vehicles. The Quant F has separate motors running all four wheels, and a two-speed transmission with peak horsepower at 1090 hp. Two 250-liter tanks hold the ionic fluids, which are run through a unique kind of fuel cell stack to generate energy. The lightweight carbon fiber frame has been completely re-engineered, as well.
So, yeah: The Quant car isn’t technically powered by salt water at all — the ionic fluids are a storage medium, not a fuel, and must be charged up like any other battery. But as an alternative energy system, the nanoFlowcell power technology appears to be entirely promising and commercially viable. The car received street-legal certification in Europe last year, and a limited production run is in early planning stages.
Oh, also this, from the official press release: “The front lights of the Quant F now have the appearance of eyes with pupils.” So that’s nice.
*A happy little reminder: I do my best at answering emails and providing the content requested yet I am only one person. Thanks

Stupidity, Indoctrination or Denial?


Our democracy is in grave danger. In fact, it may already be fatally wounded as a financial oligopoly increasingly dominates American politics and the economy. What’s most remarkable about this new form of oligarchy is that it has no face. There are no flesh and blood oligarchs, only unnamed investors. The big financial sharks can swim among our 401ks. They can flex their awesome power without getting fingered. They can set the entire direction of government activity without lobbying at all.
Here are 10 reasons to worry.
1. Money and Politics
Our democracy is supposedly rooted in the idea of one person, one vote. But the introduction of big money into politics distorts, and perhaps, destroys that ideal. Unlike most advanced democracies, we have failed to eliminate the destructive impacts of money on politics. The cost of our campaigns are rapidly rising. The Citizens United Supreme Court decision further accelerated this trend so that now there are virtually no limits on how much billionaires can spend on their preferred candidates.
Bankers too are getting into the act. One recent super PAC, “Friends of Traditional Banking” is seeking races where it can “target the industry's enemies and support its friends in Congress.”
Of course the obvious result is that all candidates, regardless of party, spend most of their time begging for money, not legislating. You can’t get elected without kissing the oligarchs’ rings.

2. Voter Disenfranchisement
At the core of modern democracy is voting – we get to choose who governs us.  If that’s the case, then we should be very concerned about how the electorate is being dismantled. Let’s start with the fact that if you’re a felon, you may not be permitted to vote at all. Since we have the largest prison population in the world, we also have more than 5 million disenfranchised felons, and former-felons. (The voting rules vary by state.) 
Equally telling is the tidal wave of new voting laws sweeping through state legislatures.  According to a recent report from NYU’s Brennan Center for Justice, “More than 5 million Americans could be affected by the new rules already put in place this year — a number larger than the margin of victory in two of the last three presidential elections.” These new restrictions include tougher laws requiring photo IDs, proof of citizenship, removal of early and absentee voting, and making it harder to restore voting rights after criminal convictions.
The rapid spread of these nearly identical disenfranchise efforts is not accidental. They come directly from the American Legislative Exchange Council, which the New York Times reorts is “a business-backed conservative group, which has circulated voter ID proposals in scores of state legislatures.” The oligarchs funding this effort include American Nuclear Energy Council, the American Petroleum Institute, Amoco, Chevron, Coors Brewing Company, Shell, Texaco, Chlorine Chemistry Council, Union Pacific Railroad, Pharmaceutical Research & Manufacturers of America, Waste Management, Philip Morris Management Corporation, and R.J. Reynolds Tobacco. (http://www.alecwatch.org/chapterone.html)

Perhaps the most pernicious efforts involve state legislation to discourage voter registration. (You would think that in a democracy we would do everything possible to register voters and to encourage them to vote.) Take Florida for example. The New York Times reports how the state has basically eliminated voter registration drives.
“The state’s new elections law — which requires groups that register voters to turn in completed forms within 48 hours or risk fines, among other things — has led the state’s League of Women Voters to halt its efforts this year. Rock the Vote, a national organization that encourages young people to vote, began an effort last week to register high school students around the nation — but not in Florida, over fears that teachers could face fines. And on college campuses, the once-ubiquitous folding tables piled high with voter registration forms are now a rarer sight.
3. Our Skewed Distribution of Income
Sometimes we forget that money in politics wouldn’t matter if our income distribution wasn’t so lopsided. Ever since the Greeks invented democracy, there has been a question about the relationship between political and economic democracy. Is it possible to have political democracy if the income distribution is severely skewed? Of course, you don’t need to have full equality of income to have a viable democracy. But does there come a point when a skewed distribution of income makes a sham of democracy? If we’re not already there, we may be getting close. As this chart shows, we lead the world when it comes to our income gap.
Ratio of CEO Compensation To Average Employee Compensation in 2000
Japan          10:1
Germany      11:1
Switzerland   11:1
Sweden        14:1
New Zealand 16:1
France          16:1
Spain            18:1
Belgium         19:1
Italy              19:1
Canada         21:1
Australia        22:1
Netherlands   22:1
Britain           25:1
Hong Kong    38:1
Mexico         45:1
Argentina      48:1
South Africa  51:1
U.S.             365:1
(Source: Michael Hennigan, “Executive Pay and Inequality in the Winner-take-all Society,” Finfacts Ireland, August 7, 2005.)
4. Tax Breaks for the Super-rich
You know the oligarchy is rolling along when it wins enormous tax breaks during good times and bad, under Democrats and Republicans. This shows up in two important ways. First, we see a decline in the top marginal tax rate from 91 percent during the Eisenhower years down to 35 percent today. But what matters even more is the 15 percent marginal rate on capital gains and similar kinds of income. That’s how Mitt Romney gets to pay only 13.9 percent of his massive income in taxes.
While we would love to blame it all on the Republicans, the chart below shows that the effective tax rate on the rich (after all deductions) has been plummeting no matter which party holds office. And although President Obama is currently very upset about the Republicans call for even more tax cuts for the super-rich, he was also unable to raise taxes on top income earners when the Democrats controlled Congress. In addition, the Democrats were unable to close the outrageous carried interest loophole that fattens hedge funds. Nor did they get near passing a financial transaction tax on Wall Street. Oligarchs don’t like to pay. And their money makes sure it stays that way. Is that democracy?
5. Wall Street Bailouts
Another sure sign of financial oligarchy is when the national vault breaks open for Wall Street bailouts and stays open. It’s become clear that too-big-to-fail banks remain far too large to fail. In fact, they have grown larger. They can continue to bet with impunity knowing that if they lose big, we will bail them out again. Under democratic capitalism this is called a “moral hazard.” But really it’s the ancient morality of oligarchy.
The sequence of events leading up to and through the financial crash is a stain on our democracy. First the largest banks and investment houses went on a wildly profitable gambling spree. They created and sold fantasy finance instruments that they knew were toxic to the core. They got their lapdog rating agencies to bless them with AAA ratings. And then they peddled the trash all over the world. Along the way housing prices were puffed up to astronomical highs since high-risk mortgages were needed to create the corrupt securities. Government, after years of ideologically informed deregulation, aided and abetted the entire process. The toxic trash created the crash.
For a short time it seemed as if Wall Street would pay for the damage it had caused – that the large banks would be broken up, that homeowners would be bailed out, that the unemployed would be put to work, and that Wall Street gambling would be eliminated with the passage of New Deal-like controls.
But the oligarchs would not stand for it. They got bailed out, not the average American. Too-big-to-fail banks used our bailout funds to get even bigger. And the reforms are weak and yet to be instituted.
That’s not what Americans wanted or expected. But under our financialized democracy, that's what we’re getting…and more is yet to come.
19 Trillion in DEBT with a new debt ceiling of 21

6. Deficit Hysteria
It’s remarkable to watch how oligarchs shift the national conversation toward debt and away from themselves. By the summer of 2011, both parties where clamoring for cuts (which they call “reforms”) in Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. As the Democrats moved to the right, the Republicans went even further, demanding more tax cuts for the rich and more draconian cuts in social programs – from food stamps to Head Start. All of this becomes possible because of the national drumbeat about deficits and debt.
With massive investments in think-tanks and media infrastructure, Wall Street’s minions successfully persuaded Washington that the American people, not Wall Street, should pay for the damage that Wall Street created. That’s the very definition of oligarchic chutzpah.
7. Crumbling Social and Physical Infrastructure
When you’re a financial oligarch, you live in your gated community, you send your kids to private schools, you go to your own expensive healthcare providers, and travel on your private jet which leaves from its own private terminal. You could care less what happens to the rest of America. You have no interest in funding public education. (In fact, the very profitable student loan market depends on rising education costs.) You would think that business leaders would want an educated workforce. But the real oligarchs don’t care. They can get their workers from anywhere in the world. What about the decay of our roads, bridges and public transportation? Doesn’t business need that too? Productive enterprises do, but the financial elites rely almost entirely on a privately controlled electronic infrastructure. Cracked bridges don’t matter.
But financial elites do care deeply about privatization. Turning over the government to the private sector is a thing of beauty for oligarchs. It’s a nice transfer of taxpayer money to firms that can use political muscle to gain contracts. The insecurity of competitive markets is eliminated as you waltz off with military and civilian contracts worth billions. (See Colin Greer’s “The Biggest Engine of Economic Growth? 8 Ways Taxpayers and the Government Are Necessary to Capitalism.”)
When America was competing with the USSR, maintaining some semblance of substantive democracy was critically important. It’s not an accident that during the Cold War we invested heavily in higher education, transportation and social programs like Medicare and Medicaid. We even supported unions. Oligarchs were constrained in the name of freedom. No more.
8. The Failure to Create Jobs
Until recently, our democracy would not tolerate high levels of unemployment. In fact it was suicidal for any politician or political party to preside over severe recessions that lasted over a year. And even during the Great Depression, it was expected that government would do everything possible to create jobs and protect the unemployed. That sense of urgency is long gone as the oligarchs have flexed their political muscle.
We are now four years into the crisis and the unemployment rate remains stuck at around 8 percent. In the past, such levels would have forced government to create jobs programs left and right. At the very least, federal money would have gone to state and local governments to prevent more public layoffs. Instead, we are witnessing an on-going human catastrophe, especially for the long term unemployed – those without jobs for 26 weeks or more. These workers will find it extremely difficult ever to find work again. A vital democracy would not stand for it. Instead, we are getting far too used to it.

9. The Revolving Door
Democracy is also in peril when financial personnel slide back and forth between Wall Street and Washington. It’s an unwritten rule that the top Treasury officials must come from Wall Street in order to “reassure” markets. Hank Paulson, Bush’s Treasury Secretary, formerly served as the CEO of Goldman Sachs. Tim Geithner, Obama’s Treasury Secretary previously was the head of the New York Fed, which is considered the informal board of directors for Wall Street. These officials truly believe that what’s good for Wall Street is good for the country.
For example, while Paulson was misleading Congress and the media about the dire situation at Fannie and Freddie in 2008, he then rushed to New York to tell his hedge fund buddies (who once worked for him at Goldman Sachs) that Freddie and Fannie soon would be nationalized. That secret tip was worth hundreds of millions to those hedge funds which then shorted the stocks and made a killing. Paulson obviously believed that the nation was served better by speaking truthfully to the oligarchs while lying to our democratic leaders.
Then there’s Peter Orzag, the former Obama budget director, widely known as a deficit hawk. Orzag was in government throughout the bailout period and was intimately involved in pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into failed banks like CitiGroup. Two years later Orzag leaves his high-level government position to take a multi-million dollar job with...CitiGroup.
Meanwhile congressional members, staff and civil servants also have their eyes glued on lucrative financial jobs in the very industries that are supposed to control in the name of the public good. Some already are auditioning by spending their time in Congress managing their own investment portfolios.Staff members are behaving like day traders.
This is what the ugly transition from democracy to oligarchy looks like.
10. Worshiping the Market Gods
Perhaps the biggest danger signal comes with the growing worship of financial markets. For nearly 3,000 years there has been an uneasy tension between money-lenders and governments of all kinds. But until recently government usually held the upper hand. Not so today. The financial markets have more power than ever before, and every political leader knows it. That power translates into the anthropomorphic qualities assigned to markets which now have a range of human emotions: Markets “approve or show their displeasure;” become “jittery or remain calm;” and “show concern or provide support.” They can take down governments, cause debt crises and generally veto policies that get them “uneasy.”
How bad is it? Just think about when the rating agencies – the petty apostles of Wall Street -- reduced their ratings on U.S. government debt last summer. Politicians and the media actually took them seriously. How crazy is that? These same rating agencies turned tricks for Wall Street banks and mis-rated thousands of mortgage-backed securities leading up to the crisis. They are the walking embodiment of abject failure and they should have gone under along with their mis-rated securities.
Instead, when the deficit discussion was mounting in Washington, these same rating agencies had the gall to cut U.S. debt ratings….and we took them seriously? The “markets” sure didn’t because interest rates remained at record lows. Yet, pundits asked, “What must we do to get our AAA rating back?” They should have been asking: “How much do those rating agencies owe the American people for damage they did to the economy and how do we get it back?”
Is It Too Late for Democracy?
The game’s not over yet. We still have freedom of expression and the right to protest – more or less. Occupy Wall Street both showed how the debate could be altered, and how easily the authorities could end the encampments. So, it’s an open question whether we have the will to build and sustain a broad, powerful anti-Wall Street movement.
The financial rot is deeply impacting our democratic structures. It should worry us when Wall Street and its political minions warn that we might become the next Greece. They, of course, are referring to the debt crisis. But Greece is also the very place where finance is crushing democracy. Austerity is being rammed down the throats of the Greek people and democratic government can no longer protect the infirm and the unemployed from the onslaught of the oligarchs. It is both sad and frightening that it’s happening at the historical birthplace of democracy.
We all are Greeks.
2012'                                2012'                                         2012'
Thanks Les

What is fractional reserve banking?
Creating money out of thin air.

Why is it so damned cold?



The polar vortex is sending temperatures plummeting in the US Midwest and Northeast this weekend, says the National Weather Service.
Millions of Americans in more than a dozen states from the Great Lakes to New England are under wind chill advisories or warnings.
Wind chills are expected to drop below -30F (-34C) by Saturday night, with gusts to reach 45mph (72kph).
Forecasters predict as many as 15 cities in the Northeast, including Boston, Philadelphia and Washington DC, could see record lows on Sunday, Valentine's Day.
A woman is seen bundled up from the cold in NewYork
It is the third winter in a row that the polar vortex - an icy blast of air from the North Pole - has punched southward into the US.
The National Weather Service said: "An eddy of the polar vortex over Quebec, along with a reinforcing cold front, is expected to bring the coldest weather of this winter season from the Great Lakes to New England.


"Wind chill warnings and lake effect snow warnings are in effect for these areas, with wind chill readings dropping below -30 degrees by Saturday night.
"Actual temperatures will also be frigid with highs in the single digits and teens, and subzero lows across much of upstate New York and New England."
The cold has already been blamed for a reported three deaths in a pile-up involving more than 50 vehicles in Pennsylvania on Saturday.
Emergency services battled snow and freezing temperatures to reach multiple casualties at the scene on Interstate 78.
State police said weather was probably a factor in the crash, reports PennLive.
New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio has warned city-dwellers to heed the weather warnings and take "extreme precautions" over the weekend.
He urged residents to check on vulnerable family members, friends and neighbours.
"Extremely cold weather can be life-threatening, especially for seniors, infants and people with medical conditions," he said.
He said homeless people would be brought by city workers to shelters or hospitals.
The cold has forced organisers to cancel an ice festival on Saturday in Central Park.
Racing officials have also cancelled all meetings at New York's Aqueduct Racetrack.
Apart from the odd snow flurry in the nation's capital on Saturday morning, the region is not expected to see a repeat of last month's blizzards.
NOAA Monitors the Stratosphere

NOAA monitors meteorological conditions and ozone amounts in the stratosphere. On this page we present graphics to aid in visualizing the evolution of the South Polar "ozone hole" and factors important for ozone depletion in the polar areas. Several other web pages (see links) discuss the processes of ozone depletion. Here we provide information on the size of the polar vortex, the size of the ozone hole, the size of the area where air is cold enough to form Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSCs), and which parts of this cold air are sunlit such that photo-chemical ozone depletion processes can occur. In addition, the latitudinal-time cross sections shows the thermal evolution at all latitudes.

Choosing To Be Happy

Strategies for Happiness: 7 Steps to Becoming a Happier Person

A popular greeting card attributes this quote to Henry David Thoreau: "Happiness is like a butterfly: the more you chase it, the more it will elude you, but if you turn your attention to other things, it will come and sit softly on your shoulder."
With all due respect to the author of Walden, that just isn't so, according to a growing number of psychologists. You can choose to be happy, they say. You can chase down that elusive butterfly and get it to sit on your shoulder. How? In part, by simply making the effort to monitor the workings of your mind.
Research has shown that your talent for happiness is, to a large degree, determined by your genes. Psychology professor David T. Lykken, author of Happiness: Its Nature and Nurture, says that "trying to be happier is like trying to be taller." We each have a "happiness set point," he argues, and move away from it only slightly.
And yet, psychologists who study happiness -- including Lykken -- believe we can pursue happiness. We can do this by thwarting negative emotions such as pessimism, resentment, and anger. And we can foster positive emotions, such as empathy, serenity, and especially gratitude.

Happiness Strategy # 1: Don't Worry, Choose Happy

The first step, however, is to make a conscious choice to boost your happiness. In his book, The Conquest of Happiness, published in 1930, the philosopher Bertrand Russell had this to say: "Happiness is not, except in very rare cases, something that drops into the mouth, like a ripe fruit. ... Happiness must be, for most men and women, an achievement rather than a gift of the gods, and in this achievement, effort, both inward and outward, must play a great part."
Today, psychologists who study happiness heartily agree. The intention to be happy is the first of The 9 Choices of Happy People listed by authors Rick Foster and Greg Hicks in their book of the same name.
"Intention is the active desire and commitment to be happy," they write. "It's the decision to consciously choose attitudes and behaviors that lead to happiness over unhappiness."

Happiness Strategy # 1: Don't Worry, Choose Happy continued...

Tom G. Stevens, PhD, titled his book with the bold assertion, You Can Choose to Be Happy. "Choose to make happiness a top goal," Stevens tells WebMD. "Choose to take advantage of opportunities to learn how to be happy. For example, reprogram your beliefs and values. Learn good self-management skills, good interpersonal skills, and good career-related skills. Choose to be in environments and around people that increase your probability of happiness. The persons who become the happiest and grow the most are those who also make truth and their own personal growth primary values."
In short, we may be born with a happiness "set point," as Lykken calls it, but we are not stuck there. Happiness also depends on how we manage our emotions and our relationships with others.
Jon Haidt, author of The Happiness Hypothesis, teaches positive psychology. He actually assigns his students to make themselves happier during the semester.
"They have to say exactly what technique they will use," says Haidt, a professor at the University of Virginia, in Charlottesville. "They may choose to be more forgiving or more grateful. They may learn to identify negative thoughts so they can challenge them. For example, when someone crosses you, in your mind you build a case against that person, but that's very damaging to relationships. So they may learn to shut up their inner lawyer and stop building these cases against people."
Once you've decided to be happier, you can choose strategies for achieving happiness. Psychologists who study happiness tend to agree on ones like these.

Happiness Strategy #2: Cultivate Gratitude

In his book, Authentic Happiness, University of Pennsylvania psychologist Martin Seligman encourages readers to perform a daily "gratitude exercise." It involves listing a few things that make them grateful. This shifts people away from bitterness and despair, he says, and promotes happiness.

Happiness Strategy #3: Foster Forgiveness

Holding a grudge and nursing grievances can affect physical as well asmental health, according to a rapidly growing body of research. One way to curtail these kinds of feelings is to foster forgiveness. This reduces the power of bad events to create bitterness and resentment, say Michael McCullough and Robert Emmons, happiness researchers who edited The Psychology of Happiness.

Happiness Strategy #3: Foster Forgiveness continued...

In his book, Five Steps to Forgiveness, clinical psychologist Everett Worthington Jr. offers a 5-step process he calls REACH. First, recallthe hurt. Then empathize and try to understand the act from the perpetrator's point of view. Be altruistic by recalling a time in your life when you were forgiven. Commit to putting your forgiveness into words. You can do this either in a letter to the person you're forgiving or in your journal. Finally, try to hold on to the forgiveness. Don't dwell on your anger, hurt, and desire for vengeance.
The alternative to forgiveness is mulling over a transgression. This is a form of chronic stress, says Worthington.
"Rumination is the mental health bad boy," Worthington tells WebMD. "It's associated with almost everything bad in the mental health field -- obsessive-compulsive disorder, depressionanxiety -- probably hives, too."

Happiness Strategy #4: Counteract Negative Thoughts and Feelings

As Jon Haidt puts it, improve your mental hygiene. In The Happiness Hypothesis, Haidt compares the mind to a man riding an elephant. The elephant represents the powerful thoughts and feelings -- mostly unconscious -- that drive your behavior. The man, although much weaker, can exert control over the elephant, just as you can exert control over negative thoughts and feelings.
"The key is a commitment to doing the things necessary to retrain the elephant," Haidt says. "And the evidence suggests there's a lot you can do. It just takes work."
For example, you can practice meditation, rhythmic breathing, yoga, or relaxation techniques to quell anxiety and promote serenity. You can learn to recognize and challenge thoughts you have about being inadequate and helpless.
"If you learn techniques for identifying negative thoughts, then it's easier to challenge them," Haidt said. "Sometimes just reading David Burns' book, Feeling Good, can have a positive effect."

Happiness Strategy #5: Remember, Money Can't Buy Happiness

Research shows that once income climbs above the poverty level, more money brings very little extra happiness. Yet, "we keep assuming that because things aren't bringing us happiness, they're the wrong things, rather than recognizing that the pursuit itself is futile," writes Daniel Gilbert in his book, Stumbling on Happiness. "Regardless of what we achieve in the pursuit of stuff, it's never going to bring about an enduring state of happiness."

Happiness Strategy #6: Foster Friendship

There are few better antidotes to unhappiness than close friendships with people who care about you, says David G. Myers, author of The Pursuit of Happiness. One Australian study found that people over 70 who had the strongest network of friends lived much longer.
"Sadly, our increasingly individualistic society suffers from impoverished social connections, which some psychologists believe is a cause of today's epidemic levels of depression," Myers writes. "The social ties that bind also provide support in difficult times."

Happiness Strategy #7: Engage in Meaningful Activities

People are seldom happier, says psychologist Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi, than when they're in the "flow." This is a state in which your mind becomes thoroughly absorbed in a meaningful task that challenges your abilities. Yet, he has found that the most common leisure time activity -- watching TV -- produces some of the lowest levels of happiness.
To get more out of life, we need to put more into it, says Csikszentmihalyi. "Active leisure that helps a person grow does not come easily," he writes in Finding Flow. "Each of the flow-producing activities requires an initial investment of attention before it begins to be enjoyable."
So it turns out that happiness can be a matter of choice -- not just luck. Some people are lucky enough to possess genes that foster happiness. However, certain thought patterns and interpersonal skills definitely help people become an "epicure of experience," says David Lykken, whose name, in Norwegian, means "the happiness."
Moderator's note: Don't make emotional investments into matters that don't concern you.

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